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| PREDICTIONS | CURRENT VALUE | TODAY |
| Robert Mugabe | $45.00/ $100.00 | (closed) |
| Morgan Tsvangirai | $45.00/ $0.00 | (closed) |
| Simba Makoni | $10.00/ $0.00 | (closed) |
Now that Zimbabwe has voted, who will be the next president? Will Mugabe’s cronies manage to massage a victory, or will the shear force of public opinion and votes sweep Tsvangirai to power. What of the army chiefs, will they engineer a pro-Mugabe coup to avoid an MDC government? Will the newly independent Simba Makoni surprise everyone by pulling off the most unlikely of victories?
The current president and leader of the now defeated ZANU-PF. Has been in power for 28 years without any serious threats to his rule. Known to use a mixture of intimidation and rule-breaking to get his way. Controls the media through draconian legislation and has the support of high-ups in the judiciary and security forces, all of whom are Mugabe appointees. May feel that a potential run-off (if no candidate has gotten 50 per cent) will be too demeaning. At the last election, he is known to have had a helicopter on hand to escape in the event of a loss.
Leader of the largest faction of the opposition MDC. Former Trade-Unionist, and founding member of the MDC, who have officially won the parliamentary elections. Likely to have won at least a plurality if votes are counted fairly – Parralel Voting Tabulations (obtained through by observing the results posted outside polling stations) show him with more than 50% required, making a run-off unnecesary, although other reports have him anywhere between 47% and 50% – which may result in a run-off against the next highest candidate (almost certainly Mugabe).
Former ZANU-PF finance minister and politburo member, running as a high profile independent candidate. Endorsed by the minority Arthur Mutambara led faction of the MDC. Also thought to have the support of senior ZANU-PF figures such as General Soloman Mujuru (husband of Vice President Joyce Mujuru). Unnofficial results have him running a distant third, despite a better than expected showing in the Matabeleland and the second city of Buluwayo. Uncomfirmed reports state that the Zimbabwe Election Commision are taking votes from Tsvangirai and giving them to Makoni in order to bring Tsvangirai’s total below 50%. May be the power broker in the event of a run-off, and likely to be included in any National Unity government.