How many new cases will Silvio Berlusconi face?
Question will be judged on: 12/31/08 @ 11:59 PM PST
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Current value = probability prediction will occur, e.g. $10 = 10% chance prediction will occur.
| PREDICTIONS | CURRENT VALUE | TODAY |
| 1 - 2 | $34.23 | (closed) |
| 3 - 5 | $32.88 | (closed) |
| 6+ | $32.88 | (closed) |
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Silvio Berlusconi has been elected again for what is, theoretically, a five year term. With this government likely to be more stable (excepting any major defections) Italian politics have been notoriously unstable. With that in mind we’d like to indirectly predict the stability of this government by way of putting a figure on the number of new court cases he’ll face by the end of the year.
Read Geoff Andrews on Italy’s hour of darkness.
Thanks to rogimmi for the picture.