| POSSIBLE ANSWERS | CHANCE | TODAY |
| 55.1% | (closed) | |
| 34.4% | (closed) | |
| 31.7% | (closed) | |
| 30.0% | (closed) | |
| 30.0% | (closed) | |
| 30.0% | (closed) |
US-Iranian relations are at a critical point in time. Even Joschka Fischer, former foreign minister of Germany, speculated on a military confrontation, while other sources predict a direct diplomatic engagement. A critical IAEA report increased the chances of new sanctions, while a new incentives package might provide an opening. Clearly a very volatile situation that can swing in different ways.
The different options are not mutually exclusive (allthough e.g. both an agreement and war seem highly unlikely)
Picture: www.breakitdownblog.com