Who will win the general election for US President?
Question will be judged on: 01/20/09 @ 12:00 AM PST
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Current value = probability prediction will occur, e.g. $10 = 10% chance prediction will occur.
| PREDICTIONS | CURRENT VALUE | TODAY |
| Barack Obama | $93.05/ $100.00 | (closed) |
| John McCain | $6.78/ $0.00 | (closed) |
| Other | $0.17/ $0.00 | (closed) |
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discussion
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trades: 0 •
markets run: 0 •
member since: 10/15/08
100% Obama
trades: 34 •
markets run: 2 •
member since: 06/19/08
I am impressed that John McCain is trading at only $17. I’m confident that Obama will win, but 83% confident? Not so sure about that.