Will the human population be below 1bn by 2100? (openDemocracy)

Will the human population be below 1bn by 2100?

Question will be judged on: 12/31/20 @ 09:18 PM PST

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Current value = probability prediction will occur, e.g. $10 = 10% chance prediction will occur.

PREDICTIONS	CURRENT VALUE	TODAY
Yes	$20.76	0.00

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cweir trades: 34 • markets run: 2 • member since: 06/19/08

I regard it as extremely unlikely.

PS Do you mean human population on Earth or in the universe? It is not completely outside the realm of possibility that some humans will live on another planet within the next 90 years.

written: Dec 31 2008 @ 09:18 PM PST | DISCLOSURE - This user is participating in this market.

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James Lovelock (of Gaia theory) predicts human population will collapse to around 1bn at the turn of next century, principally from environmental change and ensuing social collapse. Is he right? Personally i think its inevitable given our genetics.