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questions
A list of all questions, possible answers, and current results.
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Will Britain extradite Boris Berezovsky?
 
31.0%
expired • Trades: 8 • Institutions • Creator: Khan. • Ends: December 01, 2008 @ 11:59pm PST
Will Medvedev represent Russia at international meetings?
 
90.7%
expired • Trades: 16 • 1 Comment • War and Peace • Creator: Khan. • Ends: December 31, 2008 @ 11:59pm PST
The EU Reform/Lisbon Treaty will stall (at least one of the 27 Member States fails to ratify)
 
46.0%
expired • Trades: 26 • 2 Comments • Elections • Creator: johnnyryan • Ends: December 31, 2008 @ 11:59pm PST
What is Ted Stevens fate?
ExpandExpanded
 
completed • Trades: 11 • Elections • Creator: cweir • Ends: November 06, 2009 @ 06:10pm PST
Removal
completed
PREDICTED
40.5%
ACTUAL
100.0%
Resignation
completed
PREDICTED
20.3%
ACTUAL
0.0%
Nothing
completed
PREDICTED
39.2%
ACTUAL
0.0%
What country will win the medal count in the upcoming Summer Olympics in Beijing?
ExpandExpanded
 
completed • Trades: 13 • Culture • Creator: ErikvZ • Ends: August 24, 2008 @ 07:16am PDT
China
completed
PREDICTED
58.5%
ACTUAL
100.0%
The United States
completed
PREDICTED
31.2%
ACTUAL
0.0%
Russia
completed
PREDICTED
5.2%
ACTUAL
0.0%
Other
completed
PREDICTED
5.2%
ACTUAL
0.0%
Who will win Euro 2008?
ExpandExpanded
 
completed • Trades: 38 • Culture • Creator: ErikvZ • Ends: June 29, 2008 @ 12:45pm PDT
Spain
completed
PREDICTED
22.6%
ACTUAL
100.0%
Portugal
completed
PREDICTED
9.4%
ACTUAL
0.0%
Turkey
completed
PREDICTED
22.0%
ACTUAL
0.0%
Germany
completed
PREDICTED
33.2%
ACTUAL
0.0%
France
completed
PREDICTED
6.3%
ACTUAL
0.0%
Italy
completed
PREDICTED
10.2%
ACTUAL
0.0%
The Netherlands
completed
PREDICTED
15.5%
ACTUAL
0.0%
Russia
completed
PREDICTED
22.2%
ACTUAL
0.0%
How long will Hillary Clinton continue her campaign?
ExpandExpanded
 
completed • Trades: 21 • Elections • Creator: Khan. • Ends: August 29, 2008 @ 11:59pm PDT
In June, after the last primary
completed
PREDICTED
44.3%
ACTUAL
100.0%
21 May After the next round of primaries
completed
PREDICTED
27.0%
ACTUAL
0.0%
Till the convention in August
completed
PREDICTED
28.7%
ACTUAL
0.0%
Will Hezbollah stage a successful coup d'etat?
 
PREDICTED
25.7%
ACTUAL
0.0%
completed • Trades: 8 • War and Peace • Creator: ErikvZ • Ends: July 10, 2008 @ 05:52am PDT
Who will be the next president of Zimbabwe?
ExpandExpanded
 
completed • Trades: 7 • Elections • Creator: Khan. • Ends: July 31, 2008 @ 11:59pm PDT
Robert Mugabe
completed
PREDICTED
68.5%
ACTUAL
100.0%
Morgan Tsvangirai
completed
PREDICTED
27.1%
ACTUAL
0.0%
Simba Makoni
completed
PREDICTED
4.4%
ACTUAL
0.0%
Who will be the next president of Zimbabwe?
ExpandExpanded
 
completed • Trades: 0 • Elections • Creator: ezschwartz • Ends: April 10, 2008 @ 06:21am PDT
Robert Mugabe
completed
PREDICTED
45.0%
ACTUAL
100.0%
Morgan Tsvangirai
completed
PREDICTED
45.0%
ACTUAL
0.0%
Simba Makoni
completed
PREDICTED
10.0%
ACTUAL
0.0%
Which parties will form government in Serbia?
ExpandExpanded
 
completed • Trades: 22 • 1 Comment • Elections • Creator: Khan. • Ends: July 01, 2008 @ 11:59pm PDT
Democratic Party
completed
PREDICTED
25.2%
ACTUAL
100.0%
G17 Plus
completed
PREDICTED
15.0%
ACTUAL
100.0%
Socialist Party of Serbia
completed
PREDICTED
28.3%
ACTUAL
100.0%
Democratic Party of Serbia
completed
PREDICTED
15.0%
ACTUAL
0.0%
New Serbia
completed
PREDICTED
15.0%
ACTUAL
0.0%
Serbian Radical Party
completed
PREDICTED
15.0%
ACTUAL
0.0%
LDP-GSS-SDU-LSV Coalition
completed
PREDICTED
15.0%
ACTUAL
0.0%
Will Vaclav Klaus be re-elected Czech President in February 2008?
 
PREDICTED
79.1%
ACTUAL
100.0%
completed • Trades: 10 • Elections • Creator: Terrifico • Ends: February 09, 2008 @ 01:00am PST
Who will win the 2007 presidential elections in the Republic of Korea?
ExpandExpanded
 
completed • Trades: 3 • Elections • Creator: joefranks69 • Ends: December 20, 2007 @ 11:26pm PST
Lee Myung-bak
completed
PREDICTED
78.0%
ACTUAL
100.0%
Kwon Young-ghil
completed
PREDICTED
1.7%
ACTUAL
0.0%
Moon Kook-Hyun
completed
PREDICTED
3.9%
ACTUAL
0.0%
Chung Dong-Young
completed
PREDICTED
8.9%
ACTUAL
0.0%
Lee In-je
completed
PREDICTED
1.7%
ACTUAL
0.0%
Other
completed
PREDICTED
5.7%
ACTUAL
0.0%
Will Ugandan peacekeepers withdraw from Somalia by the end of the year?
 
PREDICTED
48.2%
ACTUAL
0.0%
completed • Trades: 13 • 1 Comment • War and Peace • Creator: Joss • Ends: December 31, 2007 @ 11:59pm PST
Who will become the next president of the World Bank?
ExpandExpanded
 
completed • Trades: 23 • Elections • Creator: johannes_koch • Ends: June 01, 2007 @ 07:38am PDT
ROBERT ZOELLICK
completed
PREDICTED
79.2%
ACTUAL
100.0%
OTHER
completed
PREDICTED
6.8%
ACTUAL
100.0%
ASRAF GHANI
completed
PREDICTED
1.3%
ACTUAL
0.0%
ROBERT KIMMITT
completed
PREDICTED
2.0%
ACTUAL
0.0%
SENATOR CHUCK HAGEL
completed
PREDICTED
1.3%
ACTUAL
0.0%
SENATOR RICHARD LUGER
completed
PREDICTED
1.3%
ACTUAL
0.0%
STANLEY FISCHER
completed
PREDICTED
1.3%
ACTUAL
0.0%
JOHN BOLTON
completed
PREDICTED
1.1%
ACTUAL
0.0%
TONY BLAIR
completed
PREDICTED
1.1%
ACTUAL
0.0%
DONALD RUMSFELD
completed
PREDICTED
1.0%
ACTUAL
0.0%
SENATOR BILL FRIST
completed
PREDICTED
2.0%
ACTUAL
0.0%
ALLAN HUBBARD
completed
PREDICTED
1.3%
ACTUAL
0.0%
Who will win the 2007 IRB Rugby World Cup?
ExpandExpanded
 
completed • Trades: 28 • 2 Comments • Culture • Creator: Tan.Copsey • Ends: October 20, 2007 @ 06:30am PDT
South Africa
completed
PREDICTED
31.6%
ACTUAL
100.0%
Australia
completed
PREDICTED
7.8%
ACTUAL
0.0%
England
completed
PREDICTED
21.1%
ACTUAL
0.0%
France
completed
PREDICTED
7.8%
ACTUAL
0.0%
New Zealand
completed
PREDICTED
8.8%
ACTUAL
0.0%
Argentina
completed
PREDICTED
5.2%
ACTUAL
0.0%
Wales
completed
PREDICTED
5.2%
ACTUAL
0.0%
Ireland
completed
PREDICTED
6.4%
ACTUAL
0.0%
Field
completed
PREDICTED
6.4%
ACTUAL
0.0%
Will Al Gore run for President?
ExpandExpanded
 
completed • Trades: 98 • 5 Comments • Elections • Creator: dan hancox • Ends: June 06, 2008 @ 11:59pm PDT
No
completed
PREDICTED
63.1%
ACTUAL
100.0%
Yes
completed
PREDICTED
36.9%
ACTUAL
0.0%
Which candidate will win the Democratic Presidential nomination?
ExpandExpanded
 
completed • Trades: 122 • 2 Comments • Elections • Creator: dan hancox • Ends: August 25, 2008 @ 12:00am PDT
Barack Obama
completed
PREDICTED
82.6%
ACTUAL
100.0%
Hillary Clinton
completed
PREDICTED
11.3%
ACTUAL
0.0%
John Edwards
completed
PREDICTED
1.3%
ACTUAL
0.0%
Al Gore
completed
PREDICTED
1.3%
ACTUAL
0.0%
Bill Richardson
completed
PREDICTED
1.2%
ACTUAL
0.0%
Howard Dean
completed
PREDICTED
1.2%
ACTUAL
0.0%
Field
completed
PREDICTED
1.3%
ACTUAL
0.0%
Which candidate will win the GOP presidential nomination?
ExpandExpanded
 
completed • Trades: 77 • 5 Comments • Elections • Creator: Kanishk Tharoor • Ends: September 04, 2008 @ 12:00pm PDT
Sen. John S. McCain
completed
PREDICTED
37.7%
ACTUAL
100.0%
Sen. Samuel D. Brownback
completed
PREDICTED
8.8%
ACTUAL
0.0%
Rudolph Giuliani
completed
PREDICTED
12.6%
ACTUAL
0.0%
Sen. Charles T. Hagel
completed
PREDICTED
8.8%
ACTUAL
0.0%
W. Mitt Romney
completed
PREDICTED
9.7%
ACTUAL
0.0%
Newton L. Gingrich
completed
PREDICTED
8.1%
ACTUAL
0.0%
Field
completed
PREDICTED
14.4%
ACTUAL
0.0%
China, India and Russia will reach a strategic and/or economic pact?
ExpandExpanded
 
completed • Trades: 38 • 1 Comment • War and Peace • Creator: bedir • Ends: December 31, 2007 @ 12:55pm PST
No Functional Agreement Reached
completed
PREDICTED
30.6%
ACTUAL
100.0%
Energy Partnership Only
completed
PREDICTED
25.0%
ACTUAL
0.0%
Economic Partnership Only
completed
PREDICTED
26.5%
ACTUAL
0.0%
Strategic Partnership Only
completed
PREDICTED
12.2%
ACTUAL
0.0%
Multifaceted Partnership
completed
PREDICTED
21.2%
ACTUAL
0.0%
Will the reserves of water for Sydney, Australia fall below 30% at any point in 2007?
 
PREDICTED
49.0%
ACTUAL
0.0%
completed • Trades: 13 • 1 Comment • Earth • Creator: Samuel.Douglas • Ends: January 05, 2008 @ 09:00pm PST
A new government will be formed in Lebanon before the end of the month
 
PREDICTED
22.2%
ACTUAL
0.0%
completed • Trades: 37 • 1 Comment • Institutions • Creator: sam.alame • Ends: February 01, 2007 @ 08:00am PST
Will the Scottish Nationalists win the Holyrood election in May 2007?
 
PREDICTED
58.5%
ACTUAL
100.0%
completed • Trades: 14 • 1 Comment • Elections • Creator: iain_maclaren • Ends: April 30, 2007 @ 08:22am PDT
something (a) large, (b) unanticipated, and (c) horrible will take place in 2007 - more than one such event, in fact
 
PREDICTED
38.0%
ACTUAL
100.0%
completed • Trades: 55 • War and Peace • Creator: tonycurzonprice • Ends: December 25, 2007 @ 07:40am PST
New nuclear will get the official thumbs up in an OECD country - not France or Finland - in 2007
 
PREDICTED
53.9%
ACTUAL
100.0%
completed • Trades: 23 • 2 Comments • Earth • Creator: tonycurzonprice • Ends: December 24, 2007 @ 05:52pm PST
Belgium will break up, with the Flemish nationalists achieving their goal of independence.
 
PREDICTED
18.3%
ACTUAL
0.0%
completed • Trades: 72 • 6 Comments • Institutions • Creator: tonycurzonprice • Ends: December 24, 2007 @ 10:56am PST
2007 will be the hottest year on record
 
PREDICTED
63.2%
ACTUAL
0.0%
completed • Trades: 69 • 3 Comments • Earth • Creator: tonycurzonprice • Ends: December 01, 2007 @ 08:10am PST

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